Projected Largest Muslim Populations for 2030
These countries are set to have the largest Muslim populations by 2030.
By 2030, the global Muslim population is expected to continue its steady growth, with several countries across Asia, Africa, and the Middle East hosting some of the world's largest Muslim communities. Demographic trends, including population growth, age structure, and fertility rates, are contributing to significant increases in Muslim populations in many nations.
Pakistan is projected to have the world's largest Muslim population in 2030, with approximately 256.1 million Muslims. The country has experienced rapid population growth over recent decades and remains a major center of Islamic culture and scholarship.
Indonesia, currently the world's largest Muslim-majority nation, is expected to follow closely with 238.8 million Muslims. Its diverse archipelago and rich Islamic traditions continue to make it a key influence in the Muslim world.
India is projected to rank third with 236.2 million Muslims. Despite being a Hindu-majority country, India is home to one of the world's largest Muslim communities, reflecting its long history of religious diversity. Bangladesh is expected to reach 187.5 million Muslims, while Nigeria, Africa's most populous country, is projected to have 158.9 million Muslims.
Several Middle Eastern nations will also remain among the largest Muslim populations. Egypt is projected to have 101.2 million Muslims, followed by Iran with 89.6 million and Turkey with 89.1 million. Iraq and Afghanistan are expected to host 54.7 million and 50.5 million Muslims respectively, highlighting the region's continued demographic significance.
In Africa, Sudan is projected to have 44.7 million Muslims, Ethiopia 42.4 million, Algeria 41.2 million, and Niger 29.9 million. Tanzania is expected to reach 25.2 million Muslims, reflecting the steady growth of Islam across the continent.
Other notable countries include Yemen with 37.1 million Muslims, Saudi Arabia with 35.0 million, and Uzbekistan with 33.3 million. China is projected to have a Muslim population of 30.7 million, making it one of the largest Muslim minority populations in the world. Syria is expected to round out the top twenty with 24.7 million Muslims.
These projections illustrate the growing global presence of Islam, particularly in South Asia and Africa. By 2030, Muslims will represent a substantial share of the world's population, with demographic growth continuing to shape the religious landscape of many nations and regions around the globe.